BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
0-0-0 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
0-0-0 | Home
1
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jeremy Swayman
#1 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | None-None | 1.00 | 0.972 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 2.05 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.00 Ldr
GAA
2.05
0.972 Ldr
Save %
0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
BRUINS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3
BOSTON
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Boston
4
BOSTON
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
BOS @ WSH
3 - 2
Mar 7, 2026
WSH @ BOS
1 - 3
Oct 8, 2025
BOS @ WSH
3 - 1
Oct 2, 2025
BOS @ WSH
3 - 1
Sep 21, 2025
WSH @ BOS
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+61.5% more
Washington: 22.3
vs
Boston: 13.8
Takeaways (L5)
+31.9% more
Boston: 2.9
vs
Washington: 1.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.9% more
Boston: 26.8
vs
Washington: 20.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Boston: 53.0%
vs
Washington: 47.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.0
3
WSH Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
22.3 / 13.8
11.0 / 23.0
Faceoff %
47.0 / 53.0
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
24.8 / 24.1
35.0 / 33.0
Power Play %
11.7 / 16.1
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
20.7 / 26.8
36.0 / 22.0
Takeaways
1.9 / 2.9
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BOS
WSH
BOS
ML
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
40%
2-3
ATS
100%
3-0
60%
3-2
67%
2-1
60%
3-2
TTL
33%
1-2
60%
3-2
33%
1-2
20%
1-4
Contextual Game News
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