VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-1 | Road
4
SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
0-0-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 3.91 | 0.871 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
3.91
--
Save %
0.871
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
SHARKS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
SJ By 1 goal
12.1%
SJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Simulated Score
Vegas
2
VEGAS
San Jose
4
SAN JOSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
VGK @ SJ
7 - 2
Dec 23, 2025
SJ @ VGK
2 - 7
Nov 29, 2025
SJ @ VGK
3 - 4
Oct 9, 2025
VGK @ SJ
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2025
SJ @ VGK
4 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+34.1% more
Vegas: 33.5
vs
San Jose: 22.1
Hits (L5)
+28.7% more
Vegas: 29.3
vs
San Jose: 20.9
Power Play % (L5)
+20.5%
Vegas: 29.8%
vs
San Jose: 9.2%
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.1%
Vegas: 60.0%
vs
San Jose: 55.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.0
4
SJ Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.5 / 14.8
14.0 / 17.0
Faceoff %
55.9 / 60.0
43.1 / 56.9
Hits
20.9 / 29.3
22.0 / 22.0
Power Play %
9.2 / 29.8
25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
22.1 / 33.5
23.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.3
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
VGK
SJ
VGK
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
ATS
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
