NEBRASKA
NEBRASKANEB
4-1 | Road
34
MARYLAND
MARYLANDMD
4-1 | Home
31
Key Game
KEY GAME
Kyle Cunanan
#91 | Place kicker@
KEY GAME
Bryce McFerson
#34 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Cunanan | None-None |
| Bryce McFerson | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NEBRASKA
0%
MARYLAND
100%
NEBRASKA
--
MARYLAND
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
27.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NEBRASKA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Nebraska)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NEB -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NEB)
NEB By 1-6 points
16.9%
NEB By 7-13 points
18.5%
MD By 1-6 points
14.2%
MD By 7-13 points
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Nebraska
16
NEBRASKA
Maryland
11
MARYLAND
Simulated Score
Nebraska
24
NEBRASKA
Maryland
27
MARYLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nebraska
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Maryland
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nebraska (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
C
Sim
Maryland (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 27.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
MD @ NEB
23 - 48
Oct 11, 2025
NEB @ MD
34 - 31
Nov 11, 2023
MD @ NEB
13 - 10
Nov 23, 2019
NEB @ MD
54 - 7
Nov 19, 2016
MD @ NEB
7 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+24.3% more
Nebraska: 108.6
vs
Maryland: 82.2
First Downs (L5)
+18.8% more
Nebraska: 22.0
vs
Maryland: 17.9
Total Yards (L5)
+16.7% more
Nebraska: 389.4
vs
Maryland: 324.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NEB Score
16.0
34
MD Score
11.0
31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
17.9 / 22.0
18.0 / 23.0
Rushing Yards
82.2 / 108.6
116.0 / 193.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.47 / 0.43
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards
324.4 / 389.4
365.0 / 453.0
Turnovers
0.9 / 0.9
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NEB
Advantage
5-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 29.4
ATS +/-: +8.8
MD
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -7.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NEB
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 29.4
ATS +/-: +8.8
MD
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -7.1
⚖️ Over/Under
NEB
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0%
Total +/-: +6.9
MD
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MD
NEB
MD
NEB
ML
60%
3-2
100%
5-0
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
ATS
0%
0-5
20%
1-4
0%
0-5
40%
2-3
TTL
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
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