NAVY
NAVYNAVY
5-0 | Road
32
TEMPLE
TEMPLETEM
3-2 | Home
31
Key Game
KEY GAME
Jacob Carlson
#11 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Dante Atton
#7 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Jacob Carlson | None-None |
| Dante Atton | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NAVY
0%
TEMPLE
100%
NAVY
--
TEMPLE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
27.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
NAVY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Navy)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around NAVY -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NAVY)
NAVY By 1-6 points
16.9%
NAVY By 7-13 points
18.5%
TEM By 1-6 points
14.2%
TEM By 7-13 points
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Navy
16
NAVY
Temple
11
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
Navy
20
NAVY
Temple
24
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Navy
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Temple
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Navy (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
C
Sim
Temple (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 27.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 11, 2025
NAVY @ TEM
32 - 31
Sep 7, 2024
TEM @ NAVY
11 - 38
Nov 4, 2023
NAVY @ TEM
18 - 32
Oct 29, 2022
TEM @ NAVY
20 - 27
Nov 27, 2021
NAVY @ TEM
38 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+78.9% more
Navy: 1.1
vs
Temple: 0.2
Rushing Yards (L5)
+45.9% more
Navy: 267.6
vs
Temple: 144.7
Total Yards (L5)
+31.9% more
Navy: 468.6
vs
Temple: 319.1
First Downs (L5)
+14.8% more
Navy: 19.5
vs
Temple: 16.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NAVY Score
16.0
32
TEM Score
11.0
31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
16.6 / 19.5
27.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards
144.7 / 267.6
173.0 / 243.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.5
0.5 / 0.27
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards
319.1 / 468.6
518.0 / 384.0
Turnovers
0.2 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NAVY
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
TEM
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NAVY
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
TEM
Advantage
4-0-1
(100.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NAVY
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.5
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
NAVY
TEM
NAVY
ML
80%
4-1
25%
1-3
80%
4-1
100%
4-0
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
100%
4-0
TTL
40%
2-3
0%
0-4
20%
1-4
25%
1-3
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