Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Clemson @ Boston College CLEM @ BC

CLEMSON

CLEMSONCLEM

2-3  |  Road

41
FINAL
Sat, Oct 11 • 7:30 PM ET
Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
View Odds Details →

BOSTON COLLEGE

BOSTON COLLEGEBC

1-4  |  Home

10
Key Game
Nolan Hauser
KEY GAME

Nolan Hauser

#81 | Place kicker
@
Luca Lombardo
KEY GAME

Luca Lombardo

#99 | Place kicker
Player
Nolan Hauser None-None
Luca Lombardo None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CLEMSON
100%
📊
BOSTON COLLEGE
0%
CLEMSON --
BOSTON COLLEGE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
BOSTON COLLEGE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Boston College)
ClemsonCLEM (-3.5) 0 Boston CollegeBC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Clemson Cover

30.9%

Boston College Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around BC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BC)

CLEM By 1-6 points

12.9%

CLEM By 7-13 points

9.6%

BC By 1-6 points

16.5%

BC By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
CLEMSON
46
BOSTON COLLEGE
Simulated Score
13
CLEMSON
42
BOSTON COLLEGE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Boston College Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Boston College Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Boston College (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Boston College (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -29.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 11, 2025 CLEM @ BC 41 - 10
Oct 8, 2022 CLEM @ BC 31 - 3
Oct 2, 2021 BC @ CLEM 13 - 19
Oct 31, 2020 BC @ CLEM 28 - 34
Oct 26, 2019 BC @ CLEM 7 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +44.8% more
Boston College: 2.1 vs Clemson: 1.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.6% more
Clemson: 116.2 vs Boston College: 87.7
Total Yards (L5) +20.7% more
Clemson: 433.3 vs Boston College: 343.7
First Downs (L5) +19.4% more
Clemson: 22.0 vs Boston College: 17.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLEM Score 39.0 41
BC Score 46.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.8 / 22.0 15.0 / 28.0
Rushing Yards 87.7 / 116.2 85.0 / 226.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.25 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 343.7 / 433.3 221.0 / 504.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 1.5 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
95%TICKETS5%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
76%MONEY24%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
66%MONEY34%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLEM Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: -6.5
BC
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.4 ATS +/-: -6.5
BC Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.4 ATS +/-: -3.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CLEM
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.3
BC
0-5-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -9.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BC
CLEM
BC
CLEM
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
TTL
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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