Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw St LT @ KENN

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

4-1  |  Road

7
FINAL
Thu, Oct 9 • 7:00 PM ET
Fifth Third Stadium
View Odds Details →

KENNESAW STATE

KENNESAW STKENN

3-2  |  Home

35
Key Game
Dedrick Latulas
KEY GAME

Dedrick Latulas

#3 | Wide Receiver
@
Tay'vion Lawson
KEY GAME

Tay'vion Lawson

#5 | Defensive Back
Player
Dedrick Latulas None-None
Tay'vion Lawson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LOUISIANA TECH
100%
📊
KENNESAW ST
0%
LOUISIANA TECH --
KENNESAW ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
KENNESAW STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Kennesaw State)
Louisiana TechLT (-3.5) 0 Kennesaw StKENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Louisiana Tech Cover

30.9%

Kennesaw St Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KENN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENN)

LT By 1-6 points

12.9%

LT By 7-13 points

9.6%

KENN By 1-6 points

16.5%

KENN By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
LOUISIANA TECH
46
KENNESAW STATE
Simulated Score
31
LOUISIANA TECH
24
KENNESAW STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Kennesaw St Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim Louisiana Tech Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Kennesaw St (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim Louisiana Tech (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
B
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 9, 2025 LT @ KENN 7 - 35
Nov 30, 2024 KENN @ LT 0 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +14.8% more
Kennesaw State: 356.0 vs Louisiana Tech: 310.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +13.5% more
Kennesaw State: 154.1 vs Louisiana Tech: 135.7
First Downs (L5) +13.5% more
Kennesaw State: 19.4 vs Louisiana Tech: 17.1
Turnovers (L5) +8.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 1.6 vs Kennesaw State: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 39.0 7
KENN Score 46.0 35
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.4 / 17.1 21.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 154.1 / 135.7 110.0 / 136.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.64 / 0.47
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 356.0 / 310.0 400.0 / 305.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.6 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
83%MONEY17%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
KENN
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
KENN
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: +2.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
KENN
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENN
LT
KENN
LT
ML
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
ATS
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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