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COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

0-0-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 4 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JACKETS
100%
📊
CAPITALS
0%
BLUE JACKETS --
CAPITALS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Washington)
Blue JacketsCBJ (-3.5) 0 CapitalsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Jackets Cover

42.5%

Capitals Cover

57.5%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CBJ By 1 goal

15.6%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

14.7%

WSH By 1 goal

18.8%

WSH By 2-3 goals

22.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2.92
COLUMBUS
3.3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
2
COLUMBUS
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Capitals Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Capitals Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Capitals (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Capitals (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 WSH @ CBJ 2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025 CBJ @ WSH 0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025 CBJ @ WSH 1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025 WSH @ CBJ 5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025 CBJ @ WSH 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +64.7% more
Washington: 22.3 vs Columbus: 13.6
Hits (L5) +29.9% more
Washington: 25.2 vs Columbus: 19.4
Takeaways (L5) +18.6% more
Washington: 1.9 vs Columbus: 1.6
Shots on Goal (L5) +27.1% more
Columbus: 28.4 vs Washington: 20.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CBJ Score 2.9 1
WSH Score 3.3 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
ML
100% 3-0
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
100% 2-0
ATS
100% 3-0
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
TTL
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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