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DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Oct 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

0-0-0  |  Home

1
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
100%
📊
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
RED WINGS --
MAPLE LEAFS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Toronto)
Red WingsDET (-3.5) 0 Maple LeafsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Red Wings Cover

42.3%

Maple Leafs Cover

57.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

DET By 1 goal

15.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

14.6%

TOR By 1 goal

18.9%

TOR By 2-3 goals

22.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.47
DETROIT
2.86
TORONTO
Simulated Score
2
DETROIT
4
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Maple Leafs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Maple Leafs Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Maple Leafs (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim Maple Leafs (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 21, 2026 DET @ TOR 2 - 1
Dec 28, 2025 TOR @ DET 2 - 3
Oct 13, 2025 DET @ TOR 3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025 TOR @ DET 3 - 6
Oct 4, 2025 TOR @ DET 5 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +70.1% more
Toronto: 26.8 vs Detroit: 15.8
Takeaways (L5) +60.4% more
Toronto: 2.3 vs Detroit: 1.4
Hits (L5) +53.3% more
Toronto: 35.7 vs Detroit: 23.3
Faceoff % (L5) +12.2%
Toronto: 55.3% vs Detroit: 43.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 2.5 3
TOR Score 2.9 1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
DET
TOR
DET
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
TTL
100% 4-0
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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