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NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

0-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Thu, Oct 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
ISLANDERS --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
IslandersNYI (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Islanders Cover

52.8%

Flyers Cover

47.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

NYI By 1 goal

18.0%

NYI By 2-3 goals

20.2%

PHI By 1 goal

16.8%

PHI By 2-3 goals

17.2%

AI Model Projected Score
3.22
NEW YORK
3.08
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
3
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Islanders Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Islanders (-0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 PHI @ NYI 4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026 NYI @ PHI 4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025 PHI @ NYI 4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025 NYI @ PHI 3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025 NYI @ PHI 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +20.5% more
New York: 33.4 vs Philadelphia: 26.6
Hits (L5) +9.2% more
New York: 24.5 vs Philadelphia: 22.3
Faceoff % (L5) +7.6%
New York: 55.4% vs Philadelphia: 47.8%
Power Play % (L5) +14.9%
Philadelphia: 21.9% vs New York: 7.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYI Score 3.2 4
PHI Score 3.1 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYI
PHI
NYI
ML
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
50% 2-2
100% 2-0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 1 hour, 15 minutes ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 6 hours, 59 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 12 hours, 58 minutes ago
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
timesargus 1 day ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago