BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
0-0-0 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
0-0-0 | Home
1
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
0%
CAPITALS
100%
BRUINS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1 goal
17.8%
BOS By 2-3 goals
19.5%
WSH By 1 goal
17.1%
WSH By 2-3 goals
17.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
3.1
BOSTON
Washington
3.02
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bruins
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bruins (-0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
BOS @ WSH
3 - 2
Mar 7, 2026
WSH @ BOS
1 - 3
Oct 8, 2025
BOS @ WSH
3 - 1
Oct 2, 2025
BOS @ WSH
3 - 1
Sep 21, 2025
WSH @ BOS
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+36.3% more
Boston: 2.9
vs
Washington: 1.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+22.9% more
Boston: 26.8
vs
Washington: 20.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Boston: 53.0%
vs
Washington: 47.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+4.5%
Boston: 16.1%
vs
Washington: 11.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
3.1
3
WSH Score
3.0
1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BOS
WSH
BOS
ML
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
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