COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Road
1
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
AVALANCHE
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
AVALANCHE
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
COL By 1 goal
15.3%
COL By 2-3 goals
14.2%
VGK By 1 goal
19.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
23.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
1.97
COLORADO
Vegas
2.41
VEGAS
Simulated Score
Colorado
2
COLORADO
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+28.1% more
Vegas: 19.4
vs
Colorado: 15.1
Takeaways (L5)
+50.0% more
Colorado: 3.2
vs
Vegas: 1.6
Hits (L5)
+34.5% more
Colorado: 40.9
vs
Vegas: 26.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.3% more
Colorado: 34.5
vs
Vegas: 25.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
2.0
1
VGK Score
2.4
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
COL
VGK
COL
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points