AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
KRAKEN
0%
OILERS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
EDM By 1 goal
12.7%
EDM By 2-3 goals
10.1%
SEA By 1 goal
19.7%
SEA By 2-3 goals
28.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.63
EDMONTON
Seattle
3.53
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kraken
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Win
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Kraken (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim
Kraken (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
SEA @ EDM
1 - 3
Mar 31, 2026
SEA @ EDM
0 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
SEA @ EDM
4 - 9
Nov 29, 2025
EDM @ SEA
4 - 0
Oct 25, 2025
EDM @ SEA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+31.8% more
Seattle: 2.2
vs
Edmonton: 1.7
Hits (L5)
+21.3% more
Seattle: 25.9
vs
Edmonton: 21.3
Power Play % (L5)
+16.9%
Seattle: 28.2%
vs
Edmonton: 11.3%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+12.9% more
Edmonton: 30.2
vs
Seattle: 26.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.6
2
SEA Score
3.5
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
EDM
SEA
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
25%
1-3