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WASHINGTON

CAPITALSWSH

0-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Sep 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

0-0-0  |  Home

3
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
0%
CAPITALS --
BLUE JACKETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Columbus)
CapitalsWSH (-3.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Capitals Cover

25.0%

Blue Jackets Cover

75.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

WSH By 1 goal

10.0%

WSH By 2-3 goals

6.9%

CBJ By 1 goal

19.4%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

32.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.61
WASHINGTON
3.96
COLUMBUS
Simulated Score
2
WASHINGTON
3
COLUMBUS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Jackets Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.4
D
Sim Blue Jackets (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 14, 2026 WSH @ CBJ 2 - 1
Dec 7, 2025 CBJ @ WSH 0 - 2
Nov 24, 2025 CBJ @ WSH 1 - 5
Oct 24, 2025 WSH @ CBJ 5 - 1
Oct 4, 2025 CBJ @ WSH 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +37.3% more
Columbus: 28.4 vs Washington: 20.7
Takeaways (L5) +33.9% more
Columbus: 2.4 vs Washington: 1.8
Power Play % (L5) +8.7%
Columbus: 20.3% vs Washington: 11.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +39.3% more
Washington: 22.3 vs Columbus: 13.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 2.6 4
CBJ Score 4.0 3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
WSH
CBJ
WSH
ML
50% 1-1
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
67% 2-1
ATS
50% 1-1
100% 3-0
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
TTL
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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