VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
0-0-0 | Road
2
COLORADO
AVALANCHECOL
0-0-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
AVALANCHE
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AVALANCHE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
19.0%
VGK By 2-3 goals
23.5%
COL By 1 goal
15.3%
COL By 2-3 goals
14.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
2.47
VEGAS
Colorado
2.03
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Vegas
3
VEGAS
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Avalanche
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Avalanche (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 4.5
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 26, 2026
COL @ VGK
1 - 2
May 24, 2026
COL @ VGK
3 - 5
May 22, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 1
May 20, 2026
VGK @ COL
4 - 2
Apr 11, 2026
VGK @ COL
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.0% more
Vegas: 19.4
vs
Colorado: 15.1
Takeaways (L5)
+152.6% more
Colorado: 4.8
vs
Vegas: 1.9
Hits (L5)
+40.5% more
Colorado: 35.4
vs
Vegas: 25.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+37.5% more
Colorado: 34.5
vs
Vegas: 25.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
2.5
2
COL Score
2.0
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
VGK
COL
VGK
ML
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
TTL
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Steelers Bolster Secondary with Addition of Veteran Cornerback S…
Golden Knights Edge Canucks 3-2 as Gatcomb Strikes Late
Blue Jackets' Practice Plans Shift After 4-1 Defeat to Utah Mamm…
Avalanche Crush Blues 6-1 as Necas Shines with Three Points