Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Campbell @ NC State CAM @ NCSU

CAMPBELL

CAMPBELLCAM

1-4  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Oct 4 • 2:00 PM ET
Carter-Finley Stadium
View Odds Details →

NC STATE

NC STATENCSU

3-2  |  Home

56
Key Game
Will Wilson III
KEY GAME

Will Wilson III

#28 | Cornerback
@
Preston Douglas
KEY GAME

Preston Douglas

#19 | Tight End
Player
Will Wilson III None-None
Preston Douglas None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CAMPBELL
100%
📊
NC STATE
0%
CAMPBELL --
NC STATE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
79.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
NC STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (NC State)
CampbellCAM (-3.5) 0 NC StateNCSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Campbell Cover

17.7%

NC State Cover

82.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NCSU -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NCSU)

CAM By 1-6 points

8.6%

CAM By 7-13 points

5.3%

NCSU By 1-6 points

13.5%

NCSU By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
33
CAMPBELL
46
NC STATE
Simulated Score
10
CAMPBELL
48
NC STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI NC State Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim NC State Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI NC State (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
C
Sim NC State (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 79.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2025 CAM @ NCSU 10 - 56
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +89.6% more
NC State: 141.3 vs Campbell: 74.5
Total Yards (L5) +53.5% more
NC State: 402.2 vs Campbell: 262.0
First Downs (L5) +34.1% more
NC State: 21.7 vs Campbell: 16.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +13.0% more
NC State: 0.4 vs Campbell: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 33.0 10
NCSU Score 46.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.7 / 16.2 28.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 141.3 / 74.5 236.0 / 67.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.43 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.45 / 0.55
Total Yards 402.2 / 262.0 607.0 / 188.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.6 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
35%MONEY65%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
--
NCSU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 11.2 ATS +/-: +4.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
--
NCSU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 11.2 ATS +/-: +4.3
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
--
NCSU
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NCSU
CAM
NCSU
CAM
ML
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
100% 5-0
50% 1-1
ATS
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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