Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Lindenwood @ Miami OH LIN @ M-OH

LINDENWOOD

LINDENWOODLIN

2-2  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 3:30 PM ET
Yager Stadium
View Odds Details →

MIAMI (OH)

MIAMI OHM-OH

0-3  |  Home

38
Key Game
Reece Satterwhite
KEY GAME

Reece Satterwhite

#92 | Defensive End
@
Eli Coppess
KEY GAME

Eli Coppess

#26 | Linebacker
Player
Reece Satterwhite None-None
Eli Coppess None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LINDENWOOD
100%
📊
MIAMI OH
0%
LINDENWOOD --
MIAMI OH --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Miami (OH))
LindenwoodLIN (-3.5) 0 Miami OHM-OH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lindenwood Cover

0.1%

Miami OH Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around M-OH -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

LIN By 1-6 points

0.1%

LIN By 7-13 points

0.0%

M-OH By 1-6 points

0.3%

M-OH By 7-13 points

1.3%

AI Model Projected Score
6
LINDENWOOD
49
MIAMI (OH)
Simulated Score
10
LINDENWOOD
34
MIAMI (OH)
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Miami OH Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Miami OH Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Miami OH (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
C
Sim Miami OH (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2025 LIN @ M-OH 0 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +140.7% more
Miami (OH): 119.5 vs Lindenwood: 49.7
Total Yards (L5) +61.2% more
Miami (OH): 333.1 vs Lindenwood: 206.7
Turnovers (L5) +48.1% more
Miami (OH): 2.0 vs Lindenwood: 1.3
First Downs (L5) +23.5% more
Miami (OH): 15.2 vs Lindenwood: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIN Score 6.0 0
M-OH Score 49.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 15.2 / 12.3 23.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards 119.5 / 49.7 264.0 / 59.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.2 / 0.4 0.31 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 333.1 / 206.7 472.0 / 146.0
Turnovers 2.0 / 1.3 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
12%MONEY88%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
78%MONEY22%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
--
M-OH Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
--
M-OH Advantage
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
--
M-OH
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +8.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
M-OH
LIN
M-OH
LIN
ML
60% 3-2
100% 3-0
60% 3-2
100% 3-0
ATS
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
20% 1-4
67% 2-1
TTL
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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