AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
OILERS
100%
JETS
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
19.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
26.1%
EDM By 1 goal
14.0%
EDM By 2-3 goals
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3.26
WINNIPEG
Edmonton
2.59
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.7
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
EDM @ WPG
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 1
Dec 6, 2025
WPG @ EDM
2 - 6
Sep 26, 2025
WPG @ EDM
0 - 4
Sep 23, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+50.0% more
Winnipeg: 41.4
vs
Edmonton: 20.7
Takeaways (L5)
+33.5% more
Winnipeg: 2.8
vs
Edmonton: 1.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.8% more
Edmonton: 18.5
vs
Winnipeg: 15.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.1%
Edmonton: 47.6%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.3
0
EDM Score
2.6
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
WPG
EDM
WPG
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2