Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Cincinnati @ Kansas CIN @ KU

CINCINNATI

CINCINNATICIN

2-1  |  Road

37
FINAL
Sat, Sep 27 • 12:00 PM ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

KANSASKU

3-1  |  Home

34
Key Game
Max Fletcher
KEY GAME

Max Fletcher

#31 | Punter
@
Marcus Calvin
KEY GAME

Marcus Calvin

#56 | Defensive Tackle
Player
Max Fletcher None-None
Marcus Calvin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CINCINNATI
100%
📊
KANSAS
0%
CINCINNATI --
KANSAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Kansas)
CincinnatiCIN (-3.5) 0 KansasKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cincinnati Cover

6.7%

Kansas Cover

93.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)

CIN By 1-6 points

3.8%

CIN By 7-13 points

1.8%

KU By 1-6 points

7.9%

KU By 7-13 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
17
CINCINNATI
38
KANSAS
Simulated Score
24
CINCINNATI
31
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kansas Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Kansas Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kansas (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Sim Kansas (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2025 CIN @ KU 37 - 34
Nov 25, 2023 KU @ CIN 49 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Time of Possession (L5) +10.0% more
Kansas: 0.5 vs Cincinnati: 0.4
Turnovers (L5) +25.5% more
Cincinnati: 1.1 vs Kansas: 0.8
Total Yards (L5) +10.2% more
Cincinnati: 452.0 vs Kansas: 405.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIN Score 17.0 37
KU Score 38.0 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.3 / 21.4 26.0 / 29.0
Rushing Yards 193.1 / 193.8 152.0 / 215.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 405.9 / 452.0 597.0 / 603.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 1.1 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
9%TICKETS91%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
11%MONEY89%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +1.5
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 10.6 ATS +/-: +1.5
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.1
KU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
CIN
KU
CIN
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
80% 4-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Dylan Raiola Highlights UCLA's Autzen Stadium Experience as Key …
si 0 minutes ago
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Live Stream, TV Channel, and G…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Red River Rivalry Rebooted: Why Texas-Oklahoma No Longer Decides…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Hurricane Isaias Puts Bengals-Dolphins Clash on Weather Watch
yahoo 0 minutes ago
SEC Power Rankings: Unraveling the Chaos After Another Turbulent…
hottytoddy 1 day ago