AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
OILERS
0%
KRAKEN
--
OILERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
EDMONTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Edmonton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around EDM -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EDM)
SEA By 1 goal
16.0%
SEA By 2-3 goals
15.4%
EDM By 1 goal
18.6%
EDM By 2-3 goals
22.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.57
SEATTLE
Edmonton
2.88
EDMONTON
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Edmonton
4
EDMONTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oilers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Oilers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.3
D
Sim
Oilers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
SEA @ EDM
1 - 3
Mar 31, 2026
SEA @ EDM
0 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
SEA @ EDM
4 - 9
Nov 29, 2025
EDM @ SEA
4 - 0
Oct 25, 2025
EDM @ SEA
2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+46.7% more
Edmonton: 26.0
vs
Seattle: 17.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.8% more
Edmonton: 30.2
vs
Seattle: 26.3
Takeaways (L5)
+67.5% more
Seattle: 3.8
vs
Edmonton: 1.2
Power Play % (L5)
+16.9%
Seattle: 28.2%
vs
Edmonton: 11.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.6
4
EDM Score
2.9
1
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
SEA
EDM
SEA
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
ATS
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
TTL
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-4