EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
0-0-0 | Road
3
WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
JETS
0%
OILERS
--
JETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WPG -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
EDM By 1 goal
9.4%
EDM By 2-3 goals
6.3%
WPG By 1 goal
19.2%
WPG By 2-3 goals
33.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
2.41
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
3.87
WINNIPEG
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Winnipeg
4
WINNIPEG
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Jets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jets
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.5
D
Sim
Jets (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 6.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 8, 2026
EDM @ WPG
4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 1
Dec 6, 2025
WPG @ EDM
2 - 6
Sep 26, 2025
WPG @ EDM
0 - 4
Sep 23, 2025
EDM @ WPG
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+68.3% more
Winnipeg: 3.1
vs
Edmonton: 1.9
Hits (L5)
+43.7% more
Winnipeg: 44.6
vs
Edmonton: 31.1
Blocked Shots (L5)
+18.6% more
Edmonton: 18.5
vs
Winnipeg: 15.1
Faceoff % (L5)
+2.1%
Edmonton: 47.6%
vs
Winnipeg: 45.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
2.4
3
WPG Score
3.9
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WPG
EDM
WPG
EDM
ML
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
