AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
100%
FLAMES
0%
KRAKEN
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Calgary)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)
SEA By 1 goal
13.5%
SEA By 2-3 goals
11.3%
CGY By 1 goal
19.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
27.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
2.19
SEATTLE
Calgary
2.95
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Seattle
2
SEATTLE
Calgary
3
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flames
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -0.8
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.1
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 6
Oct 1, 2026
SEA @ CGY
6 - 1
Apr 11, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
SEA @ CGY
5 - 1
Dec 18, 2025
SEA @ CGY
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+41.3% more
Calgary: 22.1
vs
Seattle: 15.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.4% more
Calgary: 30.1
vs
Seattle: 26.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
Calgary: 51.0%
vs
Seattle: 46.6%
Power Play % (L5)
+4.3%
Calgary: 32.5%
vs
Seattle: 28.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
2.2
1
CGY Score
3.0
4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
SEA
CGY
SEA
ML
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
0%
0-4