WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
0-0-0 | Road
5
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
0-0-0 | Home
2
AI Model Win Probability
CAPITALS
100%
BRUINS
0%
CAPITALS
--
BRUINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
WSH By 1 goal
15.5%
WSH By 2-3 goals
14.4%
BOS By 1 goal
18.9%
BOS By 2-3 goals
23.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
2.39
WASHINGTON
Boston
2.8
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Washington
2
WASHINGTON
Boston
3
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bruins
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -0.4
D
Sim
Bruins (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
BOS @ WSH
3 - 2
Mar 7, 2026
WSH @ BOS
1 - 3
Oct 8, 2025
BOS @ WSH
3 - 1
Oct 2, 2025
BOS @ WSH
3 - 1
Sep 21, 2025
WSH @ BOS
5 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+55.9% more
Boston: 5.2
vs
Washington: 3.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+29.7% more
Boston: 26.8
vs
Washington: 20.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.9%
Boston: 53.0%
vs
Washington: 47.0%
Power Play % (L5)
+4.5%
Boston: 16.1%
vs
Washington: 11.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
2.4
5
BOS Score
2.8
2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
WSH
BOS
WSH
ML
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
100%
3-0
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
TTL
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-4
33%
1-2
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