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PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

0-0-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Sep 21 • 7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

ISLANDERSNYI

0-0-0  |  Home

2
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
ISLANDERS
0%
FLYERS --
ISLANDERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New York)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 IslandersNYI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

48.0%

Islanders Cover

52.0%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYI -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYI)

PHI By 1 goal

17.0%

PHI By 2-3 goals

17.6%

NYI By 1 goal

17.9%

NYI By 2-3 goals

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3.01
PHILADELPHIA
3.11
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
3
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Islanders Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Islanders Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -0.1
D
Sim Islanders (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 PHI @ NYI 4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026 NYI @ PHI 4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025 PHI @ NYI 4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025 NYI @ PHI 3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025 NYI @ PHI 4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +25.8% more
New York: 33.4 vs Philadelphia: 26.6
Takeaways (L5) +11.7% more
New York: 7.4 vs Philadelphia: 6.6
Faceoff % (L5) +7.6%
New York: 55.4% vs Philadelphia: 47.8%
Hits (L5) +29.0% more
Philadelphia: 21.1 vs New York: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 3.0 3
NYI Score 3.1 2
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYI
PHI
NYI
PHI
ML
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
100% 2-0-1
25% 1-3
100% 2-0-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 2 hours, 1 minute ago
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
si 7 hours, 45 minutes ago
Islanders' Blue Line Shake-Up: Three Defenders Who Must Elevate …
si 13 hours, 45 minutes ago
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
timesargus 1 day, 1 hour ago
Islanders Lock Up Czech Blueliner Vladimir Dravecky with Three-Y…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago