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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

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3
FINAL
Sun, Sep 21 • 8:00 PM ET
Climate Pledge Arena
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SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

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5
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
100%
📊
KRAKEN
0%
CANUCKS --
KRAKEN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Seattle)
CanucksVAN (-3.5) 0 KrakenSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

37.6%

Kraken Cover

62.4%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

VAN By 1 goal

14.3%

VAN By 2-3 goals

12.4%

SEA By 1 goal

19.4%

SEA By 2-3 goals

25.6%

AI Model Projected Score
2.26
VANCOUVER
2.89
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
3
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kraken Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Kraken Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.6
D
Sim Kraken (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 14, 2026 SEA @ VAN 5 - 2
Feb 28, 2026 VAN @ SEA 1 - 5
Jan 2, 2026 SEA @ VAN 4 - 3
Dec 29, 2025 VAN @ SEA 3 - 2
Sep 26, 2025 SEA @ VAN 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +82.3% more
Seattle: 18.9 vs Vancouver: 10.4
Takeaways (L5) +65.8% more
Seattle: 5.8 vs Vancouver: 3.5
Power Play % (L5) +13.5%
Seattle: 28.2% vs Vancouver: 14.7%
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.3% more
Seattle: 26.3 vs Vancouver: 24.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.3 3
SEA Score 2.9 5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
VAN
SEA
VAN
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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