ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
71-81 | Road
5
BOSTON
RED SOXBOS
83-69 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Greg Weissert
#57 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.30 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
| Greg Weissert | None-None | 2.97 | -- | 2.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.30
ERA
Ldr 2.97
--
WHIP
--
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
2.0
3
K (Strikeouts)
3
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
42%
RED SOX
58%
ATHLETICS
--
RED SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
31%
Under 0
69%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around BOS -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
ATH By 1-2 runs
16.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
11.1%
BOS By 1-2 runs
19.5%
BOS By 3-4 runs
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.53
ATHLETICS
Boston
5.37
BOSTON
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Boston
5
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox
Loss
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Red Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.8
B
Sim
Red Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
ATH @ BOS
4 - 3
Aug 8, 2026
ATH @ BOS
7 - 3
Aug 7, 2026
ATH @ BOS
1 - 13
Jul 30, 2026
BOS @ ATH
5 - 4
Jul 29, 2026
BOS @ ATH
4 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Boston
BOS
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
1.00
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.117
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.159
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.250
.719
▲
OPS
.409
194
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+78.2% more
Boston: 11.3
vs
Athletics: 6.3
Home Runs (Season)
+99.0% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Boston: 2.0
Errors (L5)
+79.2% more
Athletics: 1.0
vs
Boston: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+76.8% more
Athletics: 4.3
vs
Boston: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.5
5
BOS Score
5.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.0
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.2 / 9.7
7.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.3
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
11.3 / 6.3
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.0 / 14.8
14.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.3 / 4.7
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
BOS
Advantage
87-77-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
BOS
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
BOS
74-86-4
O: 46.3% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
ATH
BOS
ATH
ML
50%
80-80
59%
95-67
47%
76-87
54%
87-74
ATS
58%
93-67
52%
84-78
48%
79-84
50%
81-80
TTL
46%
72-83-5
54%
84-73-5
47%
74-83-6
42%
66-90-5
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