Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Eagles LAR @ PHI

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

2-0  |  Road

26
FINAL
Sun, Sep 21 • 1:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

2-0  |  Home

33
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Braden Mann None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
📊
EAGLES
0%
RAMS --
EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.8 points (Philadelphia)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 EaglesPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

36.6%

Eagles Cover

63.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -4.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

LAR By 1-6 points

14.3%

LAR By 7-13 points

11.4%

PHI By 1-6 points

16.9%

PHI By 7-13 points

18.4%

AI Model Projected Score
20.92
LOS ANGELES
25.7
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
24
LOS ANGELES
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Eagles Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.8
D
Sim Eagles (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 46.6
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2026 LAR @ PHI 24 - 20
Sep 21, 2025 LAR @ PHI 26 - 33
Jan 19, 2025 LAR @ PHI 22 - 28
Nov 24, 2024 PHI @ LAR 37 - 20
Oct 8, 2023 PHI @ LAR 23 - 14
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +41.6% more
Philadelphia: 157.0 vs Los Angeles: 110.9
Turnovers (L5) +76.0% more
Los Angeles: 1.0 vs Philadelphia: 0.2
Net Passing Yards (L5) +43.4% more
Los Angeles: 255.0 vs Philadelphia: 144.3
Yards Per Play (L5) +21.4% more
Los Angeles: 6.1 vs Philadelphia: 4.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 20.9 26
PHI Score 25.7 33
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.3 / 19.1 19.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards 144.3 / 255.0 202.0 / 196.0
Rushing Yards 157.0 / 110.9 86.0 / 160.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.36 / 0.3
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 301.3 / 365.9 288.0 / 356.0
Turnovers 0.2 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.8 / 6.1 4.6 / 5.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
26%MONEY74%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
88%MONEY12%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LAR
PHI
LAR
ML
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 0 minutes ago
Eagles Receiver Dontayvion Wicks Added to Injury Report with Ham…
sportingnews 0 minutes ago
Rams' Special Teams Crisis: A 2026 Season Breakdown and How to F…
si 5 hours, 46 minutes ago
CeeDee Lamb Nears Historic Cowboys Milestone in Thursday Night C…
newsweek 5 hours, 46 minutes ago
Ravens' Gamble on Cam Jurgens: A Trade That Demands Two Grades
si 5 hours, 48 minutes ago