Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Tulane @ Ole Miss TULN @ MISS

TULANE

TULANETULN

3-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 3:30 PM ET
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

OLE MISSMISS

3-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Shaun Nicholas
KEY GAME

Shaun Nicholas

#0 | Cornerback
@
Oscar Bird
KEY GAME

Oscar Bird

#33 | Punter
Player
Shaun Nicholas None-None
Oscar Bird None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TULANE
100%
📊
OLE MISS
0%
TULANE --
OLE MISS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
76.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-62.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +62.0 points (Ole Miss)
TulaneTULN (-3.5) 0 Ole MissMISS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tulane Cover

0.0%

Ole Miss Cover

100.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MISS -62.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)

TULN By 1-6 points

0.0%

TULN By 7-13 points

0.0%

MISS By 1-6 points

0.0%

MISS By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
7
TULANE
69
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
20
TULANE
34
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ole Miss Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Ole Miss Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ole Miss (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -62.0
C
Sim Ole Miss (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 76.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 54.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 20, 2025 TULN @ MISS 10 - 41
Sep 20, 2025 TULN @ MISS 10 - 45
Sep 9, 2023 MISS @ TULN 37 - 20
Sep 18, 2021 TULN @ MISS 21 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +30.7% more
Ole Miss: 509.7 vs Tulane: 390.1
First Downs (L5) +19.9% more
Ole Miss: 24.9 vs Tulane: 20.7
Turnovers (L5) +10.3% more
Tulane: 1.2 vs Ole Miss: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TULN Score 7.0 10
MISS Score 69.0 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.9 / 20.7 23.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 181.6 / 184.1 241.0 / 178.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.64 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 509.7 / 390.1 548.0 / 282.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.2 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
36%MONEY64%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
89%MONEY11%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TULN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
MISS Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -6.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TULN
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -4.1
MISS
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -6.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TULN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -8.5
MISS
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +8.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
TULN
MISS
TULN
ML
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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