Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Louisiana @ E Michigan UL @ EMU

LOUISIANA

LOUISIANAUL

1-2  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 3:30 PM ET
Rynearson Stadium
View Odds Details →

EASTERN MICHIGAN

E MICHIGANEMU

0-3  |  Home

34
Key Game
Tony Sterner
KEY GAME

Tony Sterner

#95 | Place kicker
@
Rudy Kessinger
KEY GAME

Rudy Kessinger

#46 | Place kicker
Player
Tony Sterner None-None
Rudy Kessinger None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LOUISIANA
100%
📊
E MICHIGAN
0%
LOUISIANA --
E MICHIGAN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
LouisianaUL (-3.5) 0 E MichiganEMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Louisiana Cover

9.9%

E Michigan Cover

90.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around EMU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)

UL By 1-6 points

5.3%

UL By 7-13 points

2.8%

EMU By 1-6 points

10.0%

EMU By 7-13 points

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
17
LOUISIANA
35
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
28
LOUISIANA
17
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI E Michigan Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Louisiana Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI E Michigan (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
C
Sim Louisiana (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2025 UL @ EMU 31 - 34
Sep 10, 2022 EMU @ UL 21 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +49.5% more
Eastern Michigan: 388.0 vs Louisiana: 259.5
Turnovers (L5) +41.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 1.1 vs Louisiana: 0.7
First Downs (L5) +40.4% more
Eastern Michigan: 19.7 vs Louisiana: 14.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +12.0% more
Eastern Michigan: 0.4 vs Louisiana: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UL Score 17.0 31
EMU Score 35.0 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.7 / 14.0 20.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards 134.8 / 169.6 183.0 / 214.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.43 / 0.4
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 388.0 / 259.5 409.0 / 451.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 0.7 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: +7.6
EMU
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL Advantage
3-1-1 (75.0%)
Margin: 9.8 ATS +/-: +7.6
EMU
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.8 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -3.7
EMU
2-4-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
UL
EMU
UL
ML
67% 4-2
100% 5-0
50% 3-3
100% 5-0
ATS
50% 3-3
75% 3-1-1
33% 2-4
50% 2-2-1
TTL
67% 4-2
20% 1-4
50% 3-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Arizona's Fifita Brings Heisman Hype to Morgantown as WVU Defens…
theintermountain 0 minutes ago
Buckeyes' Banged-Up Roster Opens Door for Breakout Stars Against…
si 4 hours, 42 minutes ago
Hurricane Isaias Puts Bengals-Dolphins Clash on Weather Watch
yahoo 4 hours, 47 minutes ago
Five Burning College Football Questions Set to Be Answered This …
foxnews 10 hours, 36 minutes ago
Stephen A. Smith Highlights Kirby Smart's 2-7 Record Against Ala…
newsweek 10 hours, 36 minutes ago