Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / West Virginia @ Kansas WVU @ KU

WEST VIRGINIA

WEST VIRGINIAWVU

2-1  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 6:00 PM ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

KANSASKU

2-1  |  Home

41
Key Game
Keyshawn Robinson
KEY GAME

Keyshawn Robinson

#20 | Cornerback
@
Marcus Calvin
KEY GAME

Marcus Calvin

#56 | Defensive Tackle
Player
Keyshawn Robinson None-None
Marcus Calvin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WEST VIRGINIA
100%
📊
KANSAS
0%
WEST VIRGINIA --
KANSAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
55.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Kansas)
West VirginiaWVU (-3.5) 0 KansasKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

West Virginia Cover

6.7%

Kansas Cover

93.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KU -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)

WVU By 1-6 points

3.8%

WVU By 7-13 points

1.8%

KU By 1-6 points

7.9%

KU By 7-13 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
17
WEST VIRGINIA
38
KANSAS
Simulated Score
24
WEST VIRGINIA
28
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kansas Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Kansas Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kansas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Sim Kansas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2025 WVU @ KU 10 - 41
Sep 21, 2024 KU @ WVU 28 - 32
Sep 10, 2022 KU @ WVU 55 - 42
Nov 27, 2021 WVU @ KU 34 - 28
Oct 17, 2020 KU @ WVU 17 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +39.6% more
West Virginia: 2.0 vs Kansas: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +10.8% more
West Virginia: 189.0 vs Kansas: 168.6
First Downs (L5) +8.7% more
West Virginia: 23.0 vs Kansas: 21.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WVU Score 17.0 10
KU Score 38.0 41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.0 / 23.0 19.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 168.6 / 189.0 242.0 / 181.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.36 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 414.9 / 422.1 388.0 / 323.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 2.0 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
25%MONEY75%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WVU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WVU
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WVU
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +10.9
KU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
WVU
KU
WVU
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3-1
0% 0-4
25% 1-3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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