IOWA
IOWAIOWA
2-1 | Road
38
RUTGERS
RUTGERSRUTG
3-0 | Home
28
Key Game
KEY GAME
Bryce Hawthorne
#96 | Defensive Lineman@
KEY GAME
Jakob Anderson
#94 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Bryce Hawthorne | None-None |
| Jakob Anderson | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
IOWA
100%
RUTGERS
0%
IOWA
--
RUTGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
65.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
RUTGERS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Rutgers)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around RUTG -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RUTG)
IOWA By 1-6 points
0.3%
IOWA By 7-13 points
0.1%
RUTG By 1-6 points
1.0%
RUTG By 7-13 points
3.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Iowa
14
IOWA
Rutgers
51
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
Iowa
10
IOWA
Rutgers
21
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rutgers
Loss
0% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rutgers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rutgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
B
Sim
Rutgers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 65.0
B
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 31.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 19, 2025
IOWA @ RUTG
38 - 28
Nov 11, 2023
RUTG @ IOWA
0 - 22
Sep 24, 2022
IOWA @ RUTG
27 - 10
Sep 7, 2019
RUTG @ IOWA
0 - 30
Sep 24, 2016
IOWA @ RUTG
14 - 7
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5)
+55.8% more
Rutgers: 28.2
vs
Iowa: 18.1
Total Yards (L5)
+37.7% more
Rutgers: 453.4
vs
Iowa: 329.3
Turnovers (L5)
+45.0% more
Iowa: 0.6
vs
Rutgers: 0.2
Rushing Yards (L5)
+10.1% more
Iowa: 189.4
vs
Rutgers: 170.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IOWA Score
14.0
38
RUTG Score
51.0
28
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
28.2 / 18.1
20.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards
170.3 / 189.4
70.0 / 160.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.5
0.46 / 0.38
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards
453.4 / 329.3
400.0 / 346.0
Turnovers
0.2 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IOWA
Advantage
4-1-0
(80.0%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +3.7
RUTG
1-4-0
(20.0%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: -7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IOWA
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 16.4
ATS +/-: +3.7
RUTG
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: -7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
IOWA
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -2.7
RUTG
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0%
Total +/-: +6.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
IOWA
RUTG
IOWA
ML
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
40%
2-3
80%
4-1
ATS
20%
1-4
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
40%
2-3
TTL
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
40%
2-3
0%
0-5
Contextual Game News
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