CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
57-91 | Road
1
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
76-71 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Davis Martin
#65 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cade Smith
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Martin | None-None | 4.01 | -- | 5.0 | 3 |
| Cade Smith | None-None | 3.11 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.01
ERA
Ldr 3.11
--
WHIP
--
5.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
3 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
2
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
37%
GUARDIANS
63%
WHITE SOX
--
GUARDIANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
45%
Under 0
55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CHW By 1-2 runs
14.7%
CHW By 3-4 runs
8.9%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.7%
CLE By 3-4 runs
17.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.02
CHICAGO
Cleveland
5.63
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Cleveland
4
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
63% Win Prob
C
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
White Sox (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 7, 2026
CLE @ CHW
9 - 3
Oct 5, 2026
CHW @ CLE
4 - 3
Oct 3, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 0
Sep 16, 2026
CHW @ CLE
3 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
CHW @ CLE
6 - 7
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Cleveland
CLE
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.826
▲
OPS
.696
1
Home Runs
▲
162
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+16100.0% more
Cleveland: 162.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+74.0% more
Cleveland: 1.2
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+43.8% more
Cleveland: 12.4
vs
Chicago: 8.6
Errors (L5)
+43.0% more
Cleveland: 0.7
vs
Chicago: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.0
1
CLE Score
5.6
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.2
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.9 / 5.7
6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 0.5
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 7.0
9.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 8.6
12.0 / 9.0
Walks
1.6 / 3.0
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CLE
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
CHW
CLE
CHW
ML
54%
87-74
49%
81-86
49%
80-82
56%
94-73
ATS
58%
93-68
59%
99-68
59%
95-67
56%
93-74
TTL
55%
88-71-2
58%
96-69-2
43%
69-90-2
51%
84-81-2
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