Home / NFL Projections NFL / Rams @ Titans LAR @ TEN

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

1-0  |  Road

33
FINAL
Sun, Sep 14 • 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

0-1  |  Home

19
Key Game
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
@
Joey Slye
KEY GAME

Joey Slye

#6 | Place kicker
Player
Ethan Evans None-None
Joey Slye None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
0%
📊
TITANS
100%
RAMS --
TITANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
37.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
RamsLAR (-3.5) 0 TitansTEN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rams Cover

50.2%

Titans Cover

49.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LAR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

LAR By 1-6 points

16.5%

LAR By 7-13 points

15.4%

TEN By 1-6 points

16.4%

TEN By 7-13 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
18.93
LOS ANGELES
18.85
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
20
LOS ANGELES
24
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Titans Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rams (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim Titans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 37.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 14, 2025 LAR @ TEN 33 - 19
Nov 7, 2021 TEN @ LAR 28 - 16
Dec 24, 2017 LAR @ TEN 27 - 23
Nov 3, 2013 TEN @ LAR 28 - 21
Dec 13, 2009 LAR @ TEN 7 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Net Passing Yards (L5) +29.9% more
Los Angeles: 237.5 vs Tennessee: 166.4
Total Yards (L5) +21.8% more
Los Angeles: 329.3 vs Tennessee: 257.6
Yards Per Play (L5) +21.2% more
Los Angeles: 5.5 vs Tennessee: 4.3
First Downs (L5) +18.5% more
Los Angeles: 17.7 vs Tennessee: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAR Score 18.9 33
TEN Score 18.9 19
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.4 / 17.7 18.0 / 22.0
Net Passing Yards 166.4 / 237.5 143.0 / 290.0
Rushing Yards 91.1 / 91.9 109.0 / 149.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.42
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 257.6 / 329.3 252.0 / 439.0
Turnovers 1.9 / 1.0 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.3 / 5.5 3.9 / 7.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
93%TICKETS7%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
45%MONEY55%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAR Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.5 ATS +/-: -2.5
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.5
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEN
LAR
TEN
LAR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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