Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Prairie View @ Rice PV @ RICE

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PRAIRIE VIEWPV

1-1  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Rice Stadium
View Odds Details →

RICE

RICERICE

1-1  |  Home

38
Key Game
Mohammed Bility
KEY GAME

Mohammed Bility

#13 | Defensive Back
@
Enock Gota
KEY GAME

Enock Gota

#28 | Place kicker
Player
Mohammed Bility None-None
Enock Gota None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PRAIRIE VIEW
100%
📊
RICE
0%
PRAIRIE VIEW --
RICE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
57.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-45.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +45.0 points (Rice)
Prairie ViewPV (-3.5) 0 RiceRICE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Prairie View Cover

0.1%

Rice Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around RICE -45.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)

PV By 1-6 points

0.0%

PV By 7-13 points

0.0%

RICE By 1-6 points

0.2%

RICE By 7-13 points

0.9%

AI Model Projected Score
6
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
51
RICE
Simulated Score
17
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
38
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rice Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Rice Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rice (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Sim Rice (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 57.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2025 PV @ RICE 17 - 38
Aug 25, 2018 PV @ RICE 28 - 31
Oct 22, 2016 PV @ RICE 44 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +114.8% more
Rice: 154.8 vs Prairie View A&M: 72.1
Turnovers (L5) +59.0% more
Rice: 1.5 vs Prairie View A&M: 1.0
First Downs (L5) +58.6% more
Rice: 18.7 vs Prairie View A&M: 11.8
Total Yards (L5) +56.6% more
Rice: 312.1 vs Prairie View A&M: 199.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PV Score 6.0 17
RICE Score 51.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.7 / 11.8 28.0 / 18.0
Rushing Yards 154.8 / 72.1 347.0 / 100.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.43 / 0.47
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 312.1 / 199.2 461.0 / 251.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.0 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
13%MONEY87%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
--
RICE Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -9.4 ATS +/-: +1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
--
RICE Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -9.4 ATS +/-: +1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
--
RICE
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
PV
RICE
PV
ML
100% 5-0
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-2
80% 4-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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