Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / East Carolina @ Coastal ECU @ CCU

EAST CAROLINA

EAST CAROLINAECU

1-1  |  Road

38
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Brooks Stadium (SC)
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

1-1  |  Home

0
Key Game
Kyler Pearson
KEY GAME

Kyler Pearson

#0 | Wide Receiver
@
Wyatt Gedeon
KEY GAME

Wyatt Gedeon

#34 | Linebacker
Player
Kyler Pearson None-None
Wyatt Gedeon None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAST CAROLINA
0%
📊
COASTAL
100%
EAST CAROLINA --
COASTAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
75.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-29.0
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +29.0 points (East Carolina)
East CarolinaECU (-3.5) 0 CoastalCCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

East Carolina Cover

98.1%

Coastal Cover

1.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ECU -29.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)

ECU By 1-6 points

3.3%

ECU By 7-13 points

8.0%

CCU By 1-6 points

1.2%

CCU By 7-13 points

0.4%

AI Model Projected Score
52
EAST CAROLINA
23
COASTAL CAROLINA
Simulated Score
24
EAST CAROLINA
31
COASTAL CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI East Carolina Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Coastal Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI East Carolina (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -29.0
C
Sim Coastal (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 75.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2025 ECU @ CCU 38 - 0
Dec 27, 2022 CCU @ ECU 29 - 53
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +28.8% more
East Carolina: 475.3 vs Coastal Carolina: 338.4
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +20.0% more
East Carolina: 0.6 vs Coastal Carolina: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +12.6% more
East Carolina: 22.8 vs Coastal Carolina: 20.0
Turnovers (L5) +162.0% more
Coastal Carolina: 2.4 vs East Carolina: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ECU Score 52.0 38
CCU Score 23.0 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.0 / 22.8 18.0 / 29.0
Rushing Yards 173.9 / 167.4 67.0 / 204.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.6 0.36 / 0.56
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 338.4 / 475.3 239.0 / 497.0
Turnovers 2.4 / 0.8 5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
91%TICKETS9%
66%MONEY34%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
69%TICKETS31%
41%MONEY59%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
CCU
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
CCU Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ECU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.5
CCU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
ECU
CCU
ECU
ML
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
ATS
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
TTL
25% 1-3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Pete Golding Emphasizes Execution Over Scheme Change as Ole Miss…
si 1 day ago
Boston College Hockey Secures Commitment from USNTDP Forward Sam…
si 1 day ago
Red River Rivalry 2026: Essential Fan Guide for Sooners vs. Long…
news9 1 day, 6 hours ago
NFL Veterans Fire Back at Deion Sanders Hot Seat Talk: 'Stupides…
yahoo 2 days, 18 hours ago
Penn State's Season in Turmoil After Consecutive Losses
yahoo 3 days, 12 hours ago