DUKE
DUKEDUKE
1-1 | Road
27
TULANE
TULANETULN
2-0 | Home
34
Key Game
KEY GAME
Kade Reynoldson
#41 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Derrick Shepard Jr.
#94 | Defensive Lineman| Player | |
|---|---|
| Kade Reynoldson | None-None |
| Derrick Shepard Jr. | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DUKE
0%
TULANE
100%
DUKE
--
TULANE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
75.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
DUKE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Duke)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around DUKE -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DUKE)
DUKE By 1-6 points
1.0%
DUKE By 7-13 points
3.2%
TULN By 1-6 points
0.3%
TULN By 7-13 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Duke
56
DUKE
Tulane
19
TULANE
Simulated Score
Duke
24
DUKE
Tulane
27
TULANE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Duke
Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tulane
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Duke (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
C
Sim
Tulane (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 75.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 5, 2026
TULN @ DUKE
3 - 17
Sep 13, 2025
DUKE @ TULN
27 - 34
Sep 3, 2015
DUKE @ TULN
37 - 7
Sep 20, 2014
TULN @ DUKE
13 - 47
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+53.5% more
Duke: 2.7
vs
Tulane: 1.3
Total Yards (L5)
+9.5% more
Duke: 411.0
vs
Tulane: 372.1
Rushing Yards (L5)
+112.6% more
Tulane: 198.1
vs
Duke: 93.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DUKE Score
56.0
27
TULN Score
19.0
34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
20.1 / 19.6
22.0 / 27.0
Rushing Yards
198.1 / 93.2
156.0 / 139.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.5 / 0.4
0.38 / 0.43
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.4
0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards
372.1 / 411.0
426.0 / 452.0
Turnovers
1.3 / 2.7
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DUKE
Advantage
4-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 25.3
ATS +/-: +11.1
TULN
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -4.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DUKE
Advantage
4-0-0
(100.0%)
Margin: 25.3
ATS +/-: +11.1
TULN
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -4.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DUKE
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -6.8
TULN
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -8.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TULN
DUKE
TULN
DUKE
ML
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
TTL
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
Contextual Game News
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