Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Miami OH @ Rutgers M-OH @ RUTG

MIAMI (OH)

MIAMI OHM-OH

0-1  |  Road

17
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 4:30 PM ET
SHI Stadium
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

RUTGERSRUTG

1-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Jermaine Agee
KEY GAME

Jermaine Agee

#6 | Defensive Back
@
Jakob Anderson
KEY GAME

Jakob Anderson

#94 | Punter
Player
Jermaine Agee None-None
Jakob Anderson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MIAMI OH
0%
📊
RUTGERS
100%
MIAMI OH --
RUTGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
59.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.6
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.6 points (Miami (OH))
Miami OHM-OH (-3.5) 0 RutgersRUTG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Miami OH Cover

68.2%

Rutgers Cover

31.8%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around M-OH -6.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)

M-OH By 1-6 points

16.6%

M-OH By 7-13 points

19.2%

RUTG By 1-6 points

13.1%

RUTG By 7-13 points

9.9%

AI Model Projected Score
33.01
MIAMI (OH)
26.39
RUTGERS
Simulated Score
20
MIAMI (OH)
27
RUTGERS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Miami OH Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Rutgers Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Miami OH (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.6
C
Sim Rutgers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 59.4
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 M-OH @ RUTG 17 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +74.9% more
Miami (OH): 1.7 vs Rutgers: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +79.0% more
Rutgers: 23.3 vs Miami (OH): 13.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +45.6% more
Rutgers: 163.3 vs Miami (OH): 112.2
Total Yards (L5) +44.3% more
Rutgers: 387.3 vs Miami (OH): 268.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score 33.0 17
RUTG Score 26.4 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.3 / 13.0 31.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards 163.3 / 112.2 162.0 / 117.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.7 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.65 / 0.35
Total Yards 387.3 / 268.4 421.0 / 368.0
Turnovers 0.4 / 1.7 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -4.9
RUTG
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: -7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH Advantage
2-2-1 (50.0%)
Margin: -2.4 ATS +/-: -4.9
RUTG
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.2 ATS +/-: -7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +8.1
RUTG
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +6.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
M-OH
RUTG
M-OH
ML
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
ATS
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
TTL
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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