LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
78-64 | Road
5
BALTIMORE
ORIOLESBAL
66-76 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Dreyer
#86 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Rico Garcia
#50 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Dreyer | None-None | 2.74 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Rico Garcia | None-None | 3.51 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.74 Ldr
ERA
3.51
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
58%
ORIOLES
42%
DODGERS
--
ORIOLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
35%
Under 0
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.6 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
15.3%
BAL By 1-2 runs
17.2%
BAL By 3-4 runs
11.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
4.61
LOS ANGELES
Baltimore
4
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Baltimore
5
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
58% Win Prob
D
Sim
Orioles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.6
A
Sim
Orioles (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jun 21, 2026
BAL @ LAD
12 - 1
Jun 20, 2026
BAL @ LAD
3 - 2
Jun 19, 2026
BAL @ LAD
5 - 6
Sep 7, 2025
LAD @ BAL
5 - 2
Sep 6, 2025
LAD @ BAL
3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Baltimore
BAL
162
▲
Games Played
161
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.762
▲
OPS
.711
204
▲
Home Runs
199
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+24.2% more
Los Angeles: 3.9
vs
Baltimore: 3.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+21.7% more
Los Angeles: 9.9
vs
Baltimore: 7.7
Hits (L5)
+20.6% more
Los Angeles: 7.9
vs
Baltimore: 6.3
Runs per Game (Season)
+9.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Baltimore: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
4.6
5
BAL Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.2
2.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.3 / 7.9
8.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.6
0.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.7 / 9.9
6.0 / 15.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 12.5
10.0 / 19.0
Walks
3.0 / 3.9
4.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
BAL
79-82-0
(49.1%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
BAL
Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
LAD
BAL
LAD
ML
53%
83-73
56%
92-73
57%
90-69
48%
79-87
ATS
61%
95-60-1
59%
98-67
57%
90-68-1
43%
72-94
TTL
54%
81-70-5
48%
77-82-6
51%
78-75-6
44%
70-90-6
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