Home / MLB Projections MLB / Dodgers @ Orioles LAD @ BAL

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

78-63  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 7:05 PM ET
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
View Odds Details →

BALTIMORE

ORIOLESBAL

65-76  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Tanner Scott
STARTING PITCHER

Tanner Scott

#66 | Relief Pitcher
@
Albert Suarez
STARTING PITCHER

Albert Suarez

#49 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tanner Scott None-None 4.56 -- -- --
Albert Suarez None-None 2.35 -- 3.0 1
None-None W-L None-None
4.56 ERA Ldr 2.35
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 3.0
-- K (Strikeouts) Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
59%
📊
ORIOLES
41%
DODGERS --
ORIOLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
DodgersLAD (-3.5) 0 OriolesBAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Dodgers Cover

51.4%

Orioles Cover

48.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

LAD By 1-2 runs

18.7%

LAD By 3-4 runs

14.0%

BAL By 1-2 runs

18.2%

BAL By 3-4 runs

13.2%

AI Model Projected Score
4.48
LOS ANGELES
4.34
BALTIMORE
Simulated Score
4
LOS ANGELES
6
BALTIMORE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Dodgers Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Sim Orioles Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Dodgers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim Orioles (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 21, 2026 BAL @ LAD 12 - 1
Jun 20, 2026 BAL @ LAD 3 - 2
Jun 19, 2026 BAL @ LAD 5 - 6
Sep 7, 2025 LAD @ BAL 5 - 2
Sep 6, 2025 LAD @ BAL 3 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAD
vs
Baltimore BAL
162 ▲
Games Played
161
4.94 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.257 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.338 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.424 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.396
.762 ▲
OPS
.711
204 ▲
Home Runs
199
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5) +17.5% more
Los Angeles: 9.8 vs Baltimore: 8.1
Walks (L5) +11.1% more
Los Angeles: 3.9 vs Baltimore: 3.5
Runs per Game (Season) +9.7% more
Los Angeles: 4.9 vs Baltimore: 4.5
OPS (Season) +5.1%
Los Angeles: 76.2% vs Baltimore: 71.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAD Score 4.5 3
BAL Score 4.3 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.3 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 7.9 / 6.8 3.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 0.9 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.1 / 9.8 7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 14.2 / 10.8 7.0 / 16.0
Walks 3.5 / 3.9 2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
77%TICKETS23%
78%MONEY22%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
38%MONEY62%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
BAL
79-82-0 (49.1%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
BAL Advantage
(52.8%)
Margin: -0.1 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
BAL
80-77-4
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAL
LAD
BAL
LAD
ML
53% 83-73
56% 92-73
57% 90-69
48% 79-87
ATS
61% 95-60-1
59% 98-67
57% 90-68-1
43% 72-94
TTL
54% 81-70-5
48% 77-82-6
51% 78-75-6
44% 70-90-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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