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NEW YORK

METSNYM

75-64  |  Road

2
FINAL
Wed, Sep 3 • 1:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

80-60  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Luis Torrens
STARTING PITCHER

Luis Torrens

#13 | Catcher
@
Tyler Holton
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Holton

#87 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Luis Torrens None-None -- -- -- --
Tyler Holton None-None 3.95 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.95
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
METS
47%
📊
TIGERS
53%
METS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (New York)
MetsNYM (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mets Cover

51.7%

Tigers Cover

48.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around NYM -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYM)

NYM By 1-2 runs

18.7%

NYM By 3-4 runs

14.1%

DET By 1-2 runs

18.1%

DET By 3-4 runs

13.1%

AI Model Projected Score
6.39
NEW YORK
6.22
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
NEW YORK
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Mets Loss
47% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Mets (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 12.6
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 14, 2026 DET @ NYM 4 - 9
May 13, 2026 DET @ NYM 2 - 3
May 12, 2026 DET @ NYM 2 - 10
Sep 3, 2025 NYM @ DET 2 - 6
Sep 2, 2025 NYM @ DET 12 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYM
vs
Detroit DET
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲ .241
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.395
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.705
OPS
▲ .720
204 ▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +73.5% more
New York: 2.5 vs Detroit: 0.7
Total Bases (L5) +35.7% more
New York: 21.7 vs Detroit: 14.0
Strikeouts (L5) +27.5% more
New York: 9.0 vs Detroit: 6.6
Hits (L5) +20.8% more
New York: 11.9 vs Detroit: 9.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYM Score 6.4 2
DET Score 6.2 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 9.4 / 11.9 10.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.7 / 2.5 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.6 / 9.0 4.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.0 / 21.7 14.0 / 10.0
Walks 3.5 / 3.6 5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
56%MONEY44%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYM
74-88-0 (45.7%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYM
(46.3%)
Margin: -0.2 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYM
77-73-12
O: 51.3% / U: 48.7% Total +/-: +0.7
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYM
DET
NYM
ML
54% 86-73
50% 79-80
54% 87-73
48% 76-83
ATS
64% 101-58
58% 93-66
57% 91-69
49% 78-81
TTL
46% 69-81-9
55% 80-66-13
46% 69-81-10
51% 74-72-13
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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