Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Howard @ Temple HOW @ TEM

HOWARD

HOWARDHOW

1-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 2:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

1-0  |  Home

55
Key Game
Liam Allen IV
KEY GAME

Liam Allen IV

#40 | Punter
@
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
Player
Liam Allen IV None-None
Dante Atton None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
HOWARD
0%
📊
TEMPLE
100%
HOWARD --
TEMPLE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
41.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Howard)
HowardHOW (-3.5) 0 TempleTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Howard Cover

53.0%

Temple Cover

47.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around HOW -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

HOW By 1-6 points

16.7%

HOW By 7-13 points

16.2%

TEM By 1-6 points

16.1%

TEM By 7-13 points

14.5%

AI Model Projected Score
21.13
HOWARD
20.07
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
14
HOWARD
38
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Howard Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Temple Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Howard (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.1
C
Sim Temple (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 41.2
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 HOW @ TEM 7 - 55
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +18.8% more
Howard: 1.4 vs Temple: 1.2
Total Yards (L5) +33.2% more
Temple: 366.9 vs Howard: 275.6
First Downs (L5) +20.8% more
Temple: 18.1 vs Howard: 15.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 21.1 7
TEM Score 20.1 55
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.1 / 15.0 28.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards 123.6 / 132.7 329.0 / 82.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.67 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.6 / 0.4
Total Yards 366.9 / 275.6 560.0 / 121.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.4 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
43%MONEY57%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
33%TICKETS67%
16%MONEY84%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
--
TEM Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW
--
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
--
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
HOW
TEM
HOW
ML
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
ATS
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
33% 1-2
TTL
40% 2-3
100% 3-0
20% 1-4
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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