Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Delaware @ Colorado DEL @ COLO

DELAWARE

DELAWAREDEL

1-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 3:30 PM ET
Folsom Field
View Odds Details →

COLORADO

COLORADOCOLO

0-1  |  Home

31
Key Game
Colin Gallagher
KEY GAME

Colin Gallagher

#9 | Linebacker
@
Damon Greaves
KEY GAME

Damon Greaves

#35 | Punter
Player
Colin Gallagher None-None
Damon Greaves None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DELAWARE
100%
📊
COLORADO
0%
DELAWARE --
COLORADO --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 27%
Under 0 73%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.1
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.1 points (Colorado)
DelawareDEL (-3.5) 0 ColoradoCOLO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delaware Cover

23.5%

Colorado Cover

76.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around COLO -10.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COLO)

DEL By 1-6 points

10.7%

DEL By 7-13 points

7.2%

COLO By 1-6 points

15.2%

COLO By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
18.85
DELAWARE
28.95
COLORADO
Simulated Score
10
DELAWARE
48
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Colorado Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Colorado Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Colorado (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.1
D
Sim Colorado (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 47.8
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 DEL @ COLO 7 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +21.5% more
Colorado: 326.0 vs Delaware: 268.2
First Downs (L5) +13.2% more
Colorado: 17.7 vs Delaware: 15.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +26.8% more
Delaware: 100.6 vs Colorado: 73.6
Turnovers (L5) +22.6% more
Delaware: 1.2 vs Colorado: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 18.9 7
COLO Score 29.0 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.7 / 15.7 21.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 73.6 / 100.6 130.0 / 84.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.44 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.55 / 0.45
Total Yards 326.0 / 268.2 398.0 / 396.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
COLO
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -6.8 ATS +/-: -8.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
COLO
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -6.8 ATS +/-: -8.2
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.3
COLO
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: -8.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COLO
DEL
COLO
DEL
ML
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
ATS
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
TTL
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
0% 0-5
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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