Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Campbell @ East Carolina CAM @ ECU

CAMPBELL

CAMPBELLCAM

0-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 6:00 PM ET
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
View Odds Details →

EAST CAROLINA

EAST CAROLINAECU

0-1  |  Home

56
Key Game
Jyron Waiters
KEY GAME

Jyron Waiters

#9 | Wide Receiver
@
Tomas O'Halloran
KEY GAME

Tomas O'Halloran

#48 | Punter
Player
Jyron Waiters None-None
Tomas O'Halloran None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CAMPBELL
100%
📊
EAST CAROLINA
0%
CAMPBELL --
EAST CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
33.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.1
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.1 points (East Carolina)
CampbellCAM (-3.5) 0 East CarolinaECU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Campbell Cover

7.5%

East Carolina Cover

92.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ECU -20.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)

CAM By 1-6 points

4.2%

CAM By 7-13 points

2.0%

ECU By 1-6 points

8.5%

ECU By 7-13 points

15.3%

AI Model Projected Score
6.88
CAMPBELL
27.01
EAST CAROLINA
Simulated Score
10
CAMPBELL
38
EAST CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI East Carolina Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim East Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI East Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.1
C
Sim East Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 33.9
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 CAM @ ECU 3 - 56
Sep 17, 2022 CAM @ ECU 10 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +50.4% more
East Carolina: 165.2 vs Campbell: 109.8
Total Yards (L5) +40.3% more
East Carolina: 445.5 vs Campbell: 317.5
First Downs (L5) +20.1% more
East Carolina: 20.7 vs Campbell: 17.3
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +9.0% more
East Carolina: 0.5 vs Campbell: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 6.9 3
ECU Score 27.0 56
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.7 / 17.3 27.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards 165.2 / 109.8 172.0 / 4.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.76 / 0.14
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 445.5 / 317.5 535.0 / 151.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.4 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
28%MONEY72%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
--
ECU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
--
ECU Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
--
ECU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ECU
CAM
ECU
CAM
ML
50% 2-2
50% 1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 1-1
25% 1-3
50% 1-1
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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