Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Louisiana Tech @ LSU LT @ LSU

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

1-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 7:30 PM ET
Tiger Stadium (LA)
View Odds Details →

LSU

LSULSU

1-0  |  Home

23
Key Game
Jojo Odom
KEY GAME

Jojo Odom

#90 | Defensive Lineman
@
Grant Chadwick
KEY GAME

Grant Chadwick

#90 | Punter
Player
Jojo Odom None-None
Grant Chadwick None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LOUISIANA TECH
100%
📊
LSU
0%
LOUISIANA TECH --
LSU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
39.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
LSU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (LSU)
Louisiana TechLT (-3.5) 0 LSULSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Louisiana Tech Cover

11.3%

LSU Cover

88.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LSU -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LSU)

LT By 1-6 points

5.9%

LT By 7-13 points

3.2%

LSU By 1-6 points

10.8%

LSU By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
11.07
LOUISIANA TECH
28.04
LSU
Simulated Score
13
LOUISIANA TECH
48
LSU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI LSU Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim LSU Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI LSU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
C
Sim LSU (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 39.1
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 61.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 LT @ LSU 14 - 45
Sep 6, 2025 LT @ LSU 7 - 23
Sep 22, 2018 LT @ LSU 21 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +88.0% more
LSU: 1.6 vs Louisiana Tech: 0.7
Total Yards (L5) +38.0% more
LSU: 398.6 vs Louisiana Tech: 288.8
First Downs (L5) +35.9% more
LSU: 22.8 vs Louisiana Tech: 16.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +12.0% more
LSU: 0.4 vs Louisiana Tech: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 11.1 7
LSU Score 28.0 23
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.8 / 16.8 27.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 113.3 / 119.4 128.0 / 58.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.56 / 0.23
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 398.6 / 288.8 365.0 / 154.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 0.7 1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
65%MONEY35%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
LSU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
LSU
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 28.4 ATS +/-: +6.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
LSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LSU
LT
LSU
LT
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
ATS
60% 3-2
75% 3-1
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
0% 0-5
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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