Key Game
KEY GAME
Preston Thompson
#9 | Cornerback@
KEY GAME
Robert Czeremcha
#48 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Preston Thompson | None-None |
| Robert Czeremcha | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BETHUNE
100%
FIU
0%
BETHUNE
--
FIU
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Florida International)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around FIU -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)
BCU By 1-6 points
13.8%
BCU By 7-13 points
10.7%
FIU By 1-6 points
16.8%
FIU By 7-13 points
18.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bethune-Cookman
17.3
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Florida International
22.9
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
Bethune-Cookman
17
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
Florida International
38
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
FIU
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
FIU
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
FIU (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
C
Sim
FIU (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 40.2
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2025
BCU @ FIU
9 - 42
Aug 30, 2014
BCU @ FIU
14 - 12
Sep 14, 2013
BCU @ FIU
34 - 13
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5)
+89.4% more
Florida International: 406.3
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 214.5
Rushing Yards (L5)
+76.6% more
Florida International: 147.6
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 83.6
First Downs (L5)
+39.8% more
Florida International: 19.1
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 13.7
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+11.0% more
Florida International: 0.4
vs
Bethune-Cookman: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BCU Score
17.3
9
FIU Score
22.9
42
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
19.1 / 13.7
28.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards
147.6 / 83.6
223.0 / 105.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.3
0.57 / 0.33
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.53 / 0.47
Total Yards
406.3 / 214.5
456.0 / 346.0
Turnovers
1.0 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
--
FIU
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
--
FIU
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
--
FIU
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -22.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
BCU
FIU
BCU
ML
100%
5-0
100%
1-0
100%
5-0
100%
1-0
ATS
40%
2-3
0%
0-1
40%
2-3
0%
0-1
TTL
60%
3-2
100%
1-0
60%
3-2
0%
0-1