MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
84-52 | Road
4
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
78-57 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Abner Uribe
#45 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Myles Straw
#3 | Center Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abner Uribe | None-None | 1.65 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
| Myles Straw | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.65
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
54%
BLUE JAYS
46%
BREWERS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.1%
MIL By 3-4 runs
14.9%
TOR By 1-2 runs
17.5%
TOR By 3-4 runs
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
6.52
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
6.04
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.5
B
Sim
Blue Jays (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 12.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 16, 2026
TOR @ MIL
1 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
TOR @ MIL
1 - 2
Apr 14, 2026
TOR @ MIL
9 - 7
Aug 31, 2025
MIL @ TOR
4 - 8
Aug 30, 2025
MIL @ TOR
4 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.247
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.743
▲
OPS
.692
154
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+22.2% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Toronto: 4.0
Hits (L5)
+16.9% more
Milwaukee: 10.3
vs
Toronto: 8.5
OPS (Season)
+5.1%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Toronto: 69.2%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+3.1%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Toronto: 31.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
6.5
4
TOR Score
6.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.2
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.5 / 10.3
7.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.1
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 8.8
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
15.0 / 16.3
8.0 / 17.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.9
1.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
MIL
TOR
MIL
ML
46%
74-87
62%
101-61
50%
80-80
52%
84-78
ATS
56%
90-71
58%
94-68
49%
79-81
48%
78-84
TTL
51%
80-76-5
40%
62-92-8
45%
70-85-5
50%
77-77-8
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