TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
69-67 | Road
9
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
63-73 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Ezequiel Duran
#20 | Shortstop@
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Duran | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.51 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.51
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
54%
ATHLETICS
46%
RANGERS
--
ATHLETICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
39%
Under 0
61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
TEXAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
17.6%
ATH By 1-2 runs
14.8%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
6.38
TEXAS
Athletics
4.81
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Athletics
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rangers
Win
54% Win Prob
D
Sim
Athletics
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.6
D
Sim
Athletics (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 11.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
ATH @ TEX
9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026
ATH @ TEX
5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026
ATH @ TEX
1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026
TEX @ ATH
2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026
TEX @ ATH
5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.713
OPS
▲
.719
183
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+64.1% more
Texas: 2.4
vs
Athletics: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+40.2% more
Texas: 20.7
vs
Athletics: 12.4
Hits (L5)
+31.3% more
Texas: 11.6
vs
Athletics: 8.0
Walks (L5)
+37.3% more
Athletics: 3.6
vs
Texas: 2.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
6.4
9
ATH Score
4.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.0 / 11.6
8.0 / 17.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 2.4
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.3 / 9.3
3.0 / 6.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 20.7
17.0 / 27.0
Walks
3.6 / 2.6
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
TEX
ATH
TEX
ML
59%
95-67
53%
86-76
54%
87-74
57%
91-70
ATS
52%
84-78
57%
92-70
50%
81-80
61%
98-63
TTL
54%
84-73-5
53%
78-70-14
42%
66-90-5
55%
81-66-14
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