Home / MLB Projections MLB / Rangers @ Athletics TEX @ ATH

TEXAS

RANGERSTEX

68-67  |  Road

5
FINAL
Fri, Aug 29 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

63-72  |  Home

2
Probable Pitchers
Wyatt Langford
STARTING PITCHER

Wyatt Langford

#36 | Left Field
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Basso

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Wyatt Langford None-None -- -- -- --
Brady Basso None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 2
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 0.00
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
-- K (Strikeouts) 2
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
54%
📊
ATHLETICS
46%
RANGERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Athletics)
RangersTEX (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

47.8%

Athletics Cover

52.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around ATH -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)

TEX By 1-2 runs

18.0%

TEX By 3-4 runs

12.9%

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.8%

ATH By 3-4 runs

14.2%

AI Model Projected Score
5.63
TEXAS
5.85
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
TEXAS
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Athletics Loss
46% Win Prob
D
Sim Athletics Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Athletics (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
D
Sim Athletics (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.5
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 ATH @ TEX 9 - 2
Sep 1, 2026 ATH @ TEX 5 - 8
Aug 31, 2026 ATH @ TEX 1 - 8
Aug 16, 2026 TEX @ ATH 2 - 5
Aug 15, 2026 TEX @ ATH 5 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas TEX
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲ 4.31
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.317
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.713
OPS
▲ .719
183
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +59.6% more
Athletics: 3.9 vs Texas: 2.5
Home Runs (Season) +6.0% more
Athletics: 194.0 vs Texas: 183.0
Runs per Game (Season) +3.9% more
Athletics: 4.3 vs Texas: 4.2
Slugging Pct (Season) +0.6%
Athletics: 40.2% vs Texas: 39.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEX Score 5.6 5
ATH Score 5.9 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.5 / 12.4 5.0 / 10.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 2.6 0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 9.9 / 10.0 8.0 / 8.0
Total Bases 15.6 / 22.5 6.0 / 17.0
Walks 3.9 / 2.5 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX Advantage
80-82-0 (49.4%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1% Total +/-: +0.6
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
TEX
ATH
TEX
ML
59% 95-67
53% 86-76
54% 87-74
57% 91-70
ATS
52% 84-78
57% 92-70
50% 81-80
61% 98-63
TTL
54% 84-73-5
53% 78-70-14
42% 66-90-5
55% 81-66-14
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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