Home / MLB Projections MLB / Royals @ White Sox KC @ CHW

KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

68-65  |  Road

12
FINAL
Wed, Aug 27 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

48-84  |  Home

1
Probable Pitchers
Daniel Lynch IV
STARTING PITCHER

Daniel Lynch IV

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Chase Meidroth
STARTING PITCHER

Chase Meidroth

#10 | Second Base
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Daniel Lynch IV None-None 2.89 -- 1.0 1
Chase Meidroth None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
2.89 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
1 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
65%
📊
WHITE SOX
35%
ROYALS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RoyalsKC (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

50.4%

White Sox Cover

49.6%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

KC By 1-2 runs

18.5%

KC By 3-4 runs

13.7%

CHW By 1-2 runs

18.4%

CHW By 3-4 runs

13.5%

AI Model Projected Score
4.52
KANSAS CITY
4.48
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
KANSAS CITY
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Win
65% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (-0) Win
Proj Runs: 0.0
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 24, 2026 CHW @ KC 9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026 CHW @ KC 4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026 CHW @ KC 14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026 KC @ CHW 5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 KC @ CHW 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City KC
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.718
OPS
▲ .826
170 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Kansas City: 170.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +61.0% more
Chicago: 1.3 vs Kansas City: 0.7
Runs per Game (Season) +40.8% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Kansas City: 4.3
Walks (L5) +39.6% more
Chicago: 2.2 vs Kansas City: 1.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 4.5 12
CHW Score 4.5 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.3 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 10.2 / 7.8 7.0 / 16.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 0.7 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 7.4 / 7.5 5.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 15.6 / 11.4 10.0 / 27.0
Walks 2.2 / 1.5 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
72%MONEY28%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
67%MONEY33%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
KC
CHW
KC
ML
49% 81-86
55% 89-72
56% 94-73
56% 90-70
ATS
59% 99-68
57% 91-70
56% 93-74
58% 93-67
TTL
58% 96-69-2
58% 90-64-7
51% 84-81-2
54% 83-70-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Guardians' Game 4 Pitching Edge Could Spell Trouble for White Sox
yahoo 2 hours, 22 minutes ago
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
yardbarker 2 hours, 30 minutes ago
White Sox Eye ALDS Sweep Over Guardians in Game 3 Showdown
yahoo 1 day, 14 hours ago
MLB Division Series: All Four Could End Today for First Time Sin…
si 1 day, 14 hours ago
Sean Burke's Relief Masterclass Puts White Sox on Brink of ALCS
yahoo 1 day, 20 hours ago