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CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

76-56  |  Road

3
FINAL
Wed, Aug 27 • 9:45 PM ET
Oracle Park
View Odds Details →

SAN FRANCISCO

GIANTSSF

64-68  |  Home

12
Probable Pitchers
Colin Rea
STARTING PITCHER

Colin Rea

#53 | Starting Pitcher
@
Carson Whisenhunt
STARTING PITCHER

Carson Whisenhunt

#88 | SP
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Colin Rea None-None 4.23 -- 4.2 2
Carson Whisenhunt None-None 5.01 -- 5.0 3
None-None W-L None-None
4.23 Ldr ERA 5.01
-- WHIP --
4.2 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 5.0
2 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
59%
📊
GIANTS
41%
CUBS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 80%
Under 0 20%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (San Francisco)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 GiantsSF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

48.8%

Giants Cover

51.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)

CHC By 1-2 runs

18.2%

CHC By 3-4 runs

13.2%

SF By 1-2 runs

18.6%

SF By 3-4 runs

13.9%

AI Model Projected Score
3.13
CHICAGO
3.25
SAN FRANCISCO
Simulated Score
3
CHICAGO
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
41% Win Prob
D
Sim Giants Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
C
Sim Giants (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 6.4
A
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jun 14, 2026 CHC @ SF 1 - 5
Jun 13, 2026 CHC @ SF 6 - 1
Jun 12, 2026 CHC @ SF 5 - 1
Jun 7, 2026 SF @ CHC 2 - 1
Jun 6, 2026 SF @ CHC 2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
San Francisco SF
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.13
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .306
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.374
OPS
▲ .706
0
Home Runs
▲ 178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +17800.0% more
San Francisco: 178.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season) +363.0% more
San Francisco: 4.1 vs Chicago: 0.5
Home Runs (L5) +87.0% more
San Francisco: 1.6 vs Chicago: 0.8
OPS (Season) +33.2%
San Francisco: 70.6% vs Chicago: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 3.1 3
SF Score 3.3 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.3 / 0.3 1.0 / 1.0
Hits 7.6 / 8.1 13.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.6 / 0.8 4.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 9.3 8.0 / 4.0
Total Bases 14.2 / 12.3 27.0 / 8.0
Walks 2.8 / 2.4 4.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
91%MONEY9%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
75%MONEY25%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0 (40.1%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
SF Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0% Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
CHC
SF
CHC
ML
49% 79-81
58% 93-68
53% 85-75
51% 82-79
ATS
62% 100-60
61% 97-63-1
52% 83-77
47% 75-85-1
TTL
55% 82-68-10
52% 81-74-6
46% 68-81-11
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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