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KANSAS CITY

ROYALSKC

67-64  |  Road

0
FINAL
Mon, Aug 25 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

47-83  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Daniel Lynch IV
STARTING PITCHER

Daniel Lynch IV

#41 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Daniel Lynch IV None-None 2.95 -- 2.0 --
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
2.95 ERA --
-- WHIP --
2.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
65%
📊
WHITE SOX
35%
ROYALS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 45%
Under 0 55%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Kansas City)
RoyalsKC (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Royals Cover

60.3%

White Sox Cover

39.7%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)

KC By 1-2 runs

19.6%

KC By 3-4 runs

16.4%

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.2%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.2
KANSAS CITY
4.16
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
KANSAS CITY
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Royals Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Royals (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 9.4
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 24, 2026 CHW @ KC 9 - 1
Sep 23, 2026 CHW @ KC 4 - 5
Sep 22, 2026 CHW @ KC 14 - 11
Jun 28, 2026 KC @ CHW 5 - 4
Jun 27, 2026 KC @ CHW 1 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City KC
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.26
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.718
OPS
▲ .826
170 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Kansas City: 170.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +24.1% more
Kansas City: 1.6 vs Chicago: 1.2
Errors (L5) +14.0% more
Kansas City: 0.6 vs Chicago: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +10.2% more
Kansas City: 16.8 vs Chicago: 15.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KC Score 5.2 0
CHW Score 4.2 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.6 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 10.6 / 9.8 11.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 1.2 / 1.6 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.7 / 8.1 4.0 / 1.0
Total Bases 15.1 / 16.8 22.0 / 4.0
Walks 3.6 / 2.2 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
89%MONEY11%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
47%MONEY53%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0 (42.6%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: +0.6
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
KC
CHW
KC
ML
49% 81-86
55% 89-72
56% 94-73
56% 90-70
ATS
59% 99-68
57% 91-70
56% 93-74
58% 93-67
TTL
58% 96-69-2
58% 90-64-7
51% 84-81-2
54% 83-70-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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